TOURISM DEMAND IN THE NORTHERN REGION OF PORTUGAL: LOG MODEL VS FIRST-DIFFERENCE MODEL

Authors

  • Natália Sofia dos Santos Polytechnic Institute of Bragança, Portugal
  • Paula Odete Fernandes Polytechnic Institute of Bragança, Portugal

Keywords:

Tourism, Tourism Demand, Econometric Models, Northern Region of Portugal

Abstract

The main aim of this work is to model tourism demand in the Northern Region of Portugal using econometric models based on general linear model. And to construct an instrument to get in advance the evolution of tourism demand in that Region, since it has shown in recent years, some potential as a significant „magnetism? of tourist flows.

 

For this purpose we used the tourism temporal series "Monthly Nights in Hotels in the Northern Region of Portugal", recorded for the period January 1996 to December 2009. The first-difference model showed their capabilities to explain the behaviour of tourist demand in the Northern Region of Portugal.

Author Biographies

  • Natália Sofia dos Santos, Polytechnic Institute of Bragança, Portugal
    Master in Management Department
  • Paula Odete Fernandes, Polytechnic Institute of Bragança, Portugal
    PhD in Applied Economics and Regional Analysis, Professor of the Economics and Management Department

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Published

27.01.2012

Issue

Book - PROCEEDINGS TMS ALGARVE 2011: Extended Abstracts

Section

Tourism

License

The journal retains published articles’ copyrights, but they are simultaneously licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY-NC-ND), which allows individuals’ to share the relevant papers as long as authorship and publication in this journal are duly acknowledged.

How to Cite

dos Santos, N. S., & Fernandes, P. O. (2012). TOURISM DEMAND IN THE NORTHERN REGION OF PORTUGAL: LOG MODEL VS FIRST-DIFFERENCE MODEL. Tourism & Management Studies, 1193-1195. https://tmstudies.net/index.php/ectms/article/view/326