Predictive models of hotel booking cancellation: a semi-automated analysis of the literature

Authors

  • Nuno Antonio ISCTE-IUL; ESGHT-Universidade do Algarve

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18089/tms.2019.15011

Keywords:

Data Science, Forecast, Literature review, Prediction, Revenue Management

Abstract

This study sought to combine data science tools and capabilities with human judgement and interpretation in order to demonstrate how semiautomatic analysis of the literature can contribute to identifying and synthesising research findings and topics about booking cancellation forecasting. The study also focused on recording in detail the analysis’s full experimental procedure to encourage other researchers to conduct automated literature reviews in order to understand more fully the current tendencies in their field of study. The data were obtained through a keyword search in Scopus and Web of Science databases. The methodology presented not only diminishes human bias but also enhances data visualisation and text mining techniques’ ability to facilitate abstraction, expedite analysis and improve literature reviews. The results show that, despite the importance of forecasting booking cancellations to understanding net demand and improving cancellation and overbooking policies, further research on this subject is needed.

Author Biography

  • Nuno Antonio, ISCTE-IUL; ESGHT-Universidade do Algarve
    Department of Information Science and Technology

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Published

31.01.2019

Issue

Section

Tourism/Hospitality: Research Papers

How to Cite

Antonio, N. (2019). Predictive models of hotel booking cancellation: a semi-automated analysis of the literature. Tourism & Management Studies, 15(1), 7-21. https://doi.org/10.18089/tms.2019.15011